EDMONTON - Many Albertans were surprised recently by Premier Ed Stelmach's sudden decision to step down. Indeed, Stelmach had been relatively unpopular in his province for quite some time - yet there were few indications that his resignation was imminent. Dissatisfaction with Stelmach's leadership was more of a cumulative phenomenon, as opposed to BC's Gordon Campbell whose downfall can be almost entirely attributed to the underhanded introduction of the HST. There was plenty to criticize about Stelmach - from his budgetary deficits, to his attitude towards oil and gas royalties - but it is difficult to point to one piece of legislation as his 'undoing.'

Perhaps, then, there is a little bit more to this story. Generally, politicians are like unwanted houseguests that hang around far longer than desired. Staying in office too long, often in an effort to salvage their own legacy, can do serious damage to their party and their province. Perhaps, then, Stelmach's decision needs to be commended; perhaps, recognizing that his leadership is not what is best for the province, in stepping down he is really trying to put the province first.

Though his leadership has not been effective, Stelmach is no dummy - he can read the polls just like anyone else. It has been clear to just about everyone in Canada for quite some time that the Progressive Conservative dynasty in Alberta is showing signs of cracking. The Wildrose Alliance has been gaining momentum, and for several months political commentators have been warning that Albertans are not a timid, callow bunch. Rather than suffer poor leadership, Albertans will opt for a new government.

The latest Environics research and polling data confirms this reality. The PC Party sits at 34% support, whereas the Wildrose have climbed four points to a virtual tie at 32%. It is unclear how Stelmach's recent decision to leave the party will impact this trend, but it is unlikely that Albertans will be easily placated. After all, Stelmach's departure has created only uncertainty - many Albertan's are hoping for a renewed commitment to fiscal common sense, but there is only a power vacuum right now.

So, perhaps there was a certain level of altruism in Stelmach's actions in stepping down for the good of his party, but this alone will not be enough. It is vital that the party recognize their failures and provide concrete suggestions about how to 'right the ship.' This is precisely what the Wildrose Alliance has done, and it has resonated with voters. Danielle Smith's young party has already been a success - their efforts have now brought about a change in leadership and forced the government to acknowledge its failures.

Danielle Smith agrees. "You don't solve a crisis and a problem by denying that it exists."